Gavin Baker
FOLLOWAtreides Management
The most AI-aware traditional fund manager in public equities -- concentrated tech portfolio with strong returns, excellent AI industry commentary, but growth-oriented rather than value-oriented.
AI/Tech-Aware Value Investors & AGI Thinkers
Current Portfolio
2025-Q4 · 56 positions · Filed 2026-02-17
| # | Ticker | Value | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQQ | $2.2B | 26.3% Est. ~25.0% of total Conviction |
| 2 | NVDA | $652.8M | 8.0% Est. ~7.6% of total |
| 3 | NVDA | $359.1M | 4.4% Est. ~4.2% of total |
| 4 | CIEN | $334.0M | 4.1% Est. ~3.9% of total |
| 5 | U | $292.6M | 3.6% Est. ~3.4% of total |
| 6 | PURE STORAGE | $279.9M | 3.4% Est. ~3.2% of total |
| 7 | ALAB | $268.0M | 3.3% Est. ~3.1% of total |
| 8 | COHR | $228.0M | 2.8% Est. ~2.7% of total |
| 9 | MU | $210.9M | 2.6% Est. ~2.5% of total |
| 10 | MU | $199.8M | 2.4% Est. ~2.3% of total |
| 11 | COHR | $166.1M | 2.0% Est. ~1.9% of total |
| 12 | U | $163.4M | 2.0% Est. ~1.9% of total |
| 13 | GOOGL | $161.0M | 2.0% Est. ~1.9% of total |
| 14 | AMZN | $158.8M | 1.9% Est. ~1.8% of total |
| 15 | LUMENTUM HLDGS | $141.1M | 1.7% Est. ~1.6% of total |
| 16 | WIX | $129.6M | 1.6% Est. ~1.5% of total |
| 17 | GTLB | $119.2M | 1.5% Est. ~1.4% of total |
| 18 | SNOW | $105.0M | 1.3% Est. ~1.2% of total |
| 19 | AFFIRM HLDGS | $103.1M | 1.3% Est. ~1.2% of total |
| 20 | TWLO | $102.0M | 1.3% Est. ~1.2% of total |
Allocation
Recent Changes
2025-Q4 vs 2025-Q3Portfolio +59.4%
| Action | Ticker | Shares Change | Value Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEW | WIX | +1.2M | +$129.6M Est. bought $93.31–$153.79 |
| NEW | SATS | +901K | +$97.9M |
| NEW | WING | +390K | +$93.0M Est. bought $214.07–$274.91 |
| NEW | COMP | +8.7M | +$92.2M |
| NEW | MSFT | +181K | +$87.8M Est. bought $472.12–$542.07 |
| NEW | CHIME FINL | +1.5M | +$37.9M |
| NEW | GENERAC HLDGS | +183K | +$24.9M |
| NEW | PFGC | +126K | +$11.3M |
| NEW | WRBY | +393K | +$8.6M |
| SOLD | DECK | -1.3M(-100%) | $-126.8M |
| SOLD | HUBS | -243K(-100%) | $-113.9M |
| SOLD | ISRG | -135K(-100%) | $-92.3M |
| SOLD | MRVL | -1.0M(-100%) | $-84.1M |
| SOLD | ELF | -538K(-100%) | $-71.3M |
| SOLD | AMD | -339K(-100%) | $-54.9M |
| SOLD | META | -66K(-100%) | $-48.5M |
| SOLD | VARONIS SYS | -658K(-100%) | $-37.8M |
| SOLD | IOT | -711K(-100%) | $-26.5M |
| SOLD | SNPS | -39K(-100%) | $-19.2M |
| SOLD | FIVN | -735K(-100%) | $-17.8M |
| SOLD | BLDR | -137K(-100%) | $-16.6M |
| SOLD | APP | -17K(-100%) | $-12.5M |
| SOLD | JOBY-WT | -769K(-100%) | $-12.4M |
| SOLD | Z | -118K(-100%) | $-9.1M |
| SOLD | GEMINI SPACE | -70K(-100%) | $-1.7M |
| SOLD | SONDQ | -961K(-100%) | $-1.2M |
| INCREASED | QQQ | +1.5M(+75%) | +$949.3M Est. bought $585.67–$635.77 |
| INCREASED | NVDA | +4.9M(+844%) | +$904.6M Est. bought $170.94–$207.04 |
| INCREASED | COHR | +1.2M(+134%) | +$295.7M Est. bought $109.37–$198.5 |
| INCREASED | MU | +714K(+98%) | +$289.4M Est. bought $181.6–$294.37 |
| INCREASED | ALAB | +1.5M(+2497%) | +$255.9M Est. bought $139.29–$225.43 |
| INCREASED | U | +4.2M(+69%) | +$211.4M Est. bought $34.72–$49.47 |
| INCREASED | CIEN | +27K(+2%) | +$130.0M Est. bought $151.45–$242.37 |
| INCREASED | AFFIRM HLDGS | +1.2M(+566%) | +$87.9M |
| INCREASED | ROCKET COS | +2.6M(+260%) | +$50.4M |
| INCREASED | ACVA | +6.9M(+125%) | +$44.9M |
| INCREASED | PURE STORAGE | +1.6M(+39%) | +$37.0M |
| INCREASED | CRWV | +543K(+864%) | +$34.8M |
| INCREASED | AXON | +69K(+189%) | +$33.7M |
| INCREASED | TTAN | +166K(+27%) | +$21.3M |
| INCREASED | PHILIP MORRIS | +127K(+45%) | +$19.8M |
| INCREASED | TEAM | +93K(+30%) | +$15.8M |
| INCREASED | AMSC | +273K(+35%) | $-15.8M |
| INCREASED | G6683N103 | +764K(+30%) | +$14.6M |
| INCREASED | AMZN | +29K(+4%) | +$14.1M Est. bought $213.04–$254 |
| INCREASED | SE | +5K(+2%) | $-13.2M |
| INCREASED | W | +16K(+2%) | +$11.1M |
| INCREASED | DICKS SPORTING | +9K(+2%) | $-9.8M |
| INCREASED | AZO | +692(+6%) | $-7.5M Est. bought $3,391.5–$4,253.71 |
| INCREASED | RBRK | +142K(+19%) | +$6.5M |
| INCREASED | FROG | +7K(+2%) | +$6.4M |
| INCREASED | RL | +2K(+2%) | +$5.9M |
| INCREASED | SMTC | +13K(+2%) | +$2.5M |
| INCREASED | ROG | +3K(+2%) | +$2.2M |
| INCREASED | TBLAW | +13K(+2%) | +$930.9K |
| INCREASED | SNOW | +9K(+2%) | $-886.4K Est. bought $215.28–$277.14 |
| INCREASED | AMBQ | +12K(+2%) | $-626.5K |
| INCREASED | MA | +890(+2%) | +$601.4K Est. bought $527.58–$580.45 |
| DECREASED | GTLB | -1.3M(-24%) | $-89.8M |
| DECREASED | RBLX | -347K(-47%) | $-70.5M |
| DECREASED | INTC | -2.1M(-81%) | $-69.7M |
| DECREASED | LUMENTUM HLDGS | -274K(-42%) | +$34.2M |
| DECREASED | GOOGL | -36K(-7%) | +$27.2M |
| DECREASED | FERG | -45K(-20%) | $-10.4M |
| DECREASED | TSLA | -21K(-10%) | $-8.2M |
| DECREASED | TWLO | -249K(-26%) | +$5.3M |
| DECREASED | MELI | -1K(-24%) | $-4.7M |
Score Breakdown
Investment Philosophy & Portfolio Style
Philosophy
Baker's philosophy is growth-oriented but grounded in fundamental analysis and business quality assessment. His key principles: (1) Focus on secular winners in technology -- he invests in companies benefiting from long-term technology trends (cloud, AI, semiconductors, digital advertising, e-commerce) and is willing to pay premium valuations for companies he believes are structural winners; (2) Deep industry expertise -- he combines Fidelity-trained fundamental research rigor with a deep understanding of technology ecosystems, competitive dynamics, and product cycles; (3) Variant perception -- he looks for situations where his understanding of a technology trend or company trajectory differs meaningfully from consensus; (4) Concentration in highest-conviction ideas -- his top 10 holdings represent ~74% of his long portfolio, indicating very high conviction in his best ideas; (5) Both long and short -- Atreides runs a long-short strategy, allowing him to express negative views as well as positive ones; (6) AI as a central investment theme -- Baker has been one of the most vocal and thoughtful public equity investors on the AI infrastructure buildout, semiconductor demand, and the implications of large language models. He has published extensive Twitter/X threads on AI compute demand, NVIDIA's competitive position, hyperscaler capital expenditure trends, and the economic implications of AI. He is arguably the most AI-aware traditional fund manager in public markets today.
Portfolio Style
Concentrated long-short equity with a technology focus. Top 10 holdings represent approximately 74% of the long portfolio -- highly concentrated by hedge fund standards. Total positions: 49 equities + 7 options. The portfolio is heavily weighted toward large-cap technology and AI beneficiaries. Based on 13F filings, his top positions have included names like NVIDIA, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), and other AI infrastructure and platform companies. He uses options selectively for risk management or leveraged exposure. Holding periods appear moderate (quarters to years), with some positions held since fund inception. He runs a meaningful short book as well, though short positions are not disclosed in 13F filings. The fund is structured as a hedge fund (LP) with typical hedge fund fee structure (likely 2/20 or similar). AUM of ~$4.7B gives him sufficient scale to own meaningful positions in large-cap tech while maintaining concentration.
Background
Gavin Baker is the founder and CIO of Atreides Management LP, a long-short equity hedge fund he launched in 2019 after leaving Fidelity Investments. At Fidelity, he was one of the youngest portfolio managers in the firm's history, managing the Fidelity OTC Portfolio fund -- one of Fidelity's largest and most prominent tech-focused funds with approximately $15-20 billion in AUM. He managed the OTC Portfolio from 2009 to 2019, a period during which the fund significantly outperformed its benchmark. Before becoming a PM, he was a tech analyst at Fidelity, joining the firm in 2000. He is a graduate of Harvard University. Baker is known for his deep understanding of technology business models, his active presence on Twitter/X where he shares detailed investment theses and industry analysis, and his willingness to hold concentrated positions in his highest-conviction ideas. Atreides Management manages approximately $4.7 billion in AUM as of Q4 2025, with 49 equity positions and 7 options positions. The fund has generated cumulative returns of approximately 173% from inception through Q4 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 over the same period. Baker is one of the most respected technology-focused public equity investors of his generation.
Track Record
Strong. Atreides Management has generated cumulative returns of approximately 173% from inception (2019) through Q4 2025, with a Q4 2025 return of 13.17%. This significantly outperforms the S&P 500 over the same period. Before Atreides, Baker managed the Fidelity OTC Portfolio from 2009-2019, where he oversaw approximately $15-20B in assets and outperformed the Nasdaq Composite over his tenure. His track record across both Fidelity and Atreides spans approximately 15 years of public equity management with strong risk-adjusted returns. His biggest wins appear to be in AI/semiconductor positions (NVIDIA, TSMC) where his early conviction and willingness to hold concentrated positions paid off enormously. His short book performance is less transparent but his overall fund returns suggest the long-short combination has worked well. The main risk to his track record is that his best period (2023-2025) coincided with an AI-driven tech bull market that may not be sustainable.
Notable Holdings
Based on 13F filings (Q4 2025), top positions include: NVIDIA (largest or near-largest position), Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), and other AI infrastructure and platform companies. The portfolio is heavily tilted toward AI beneficiaries across the tech stack -- from chips (NVIDIA, TSMC) to cloud platforms (Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud) to AI application companies (Meta). He has also held positions in semiconductor equipment companies, enterprise software, and other technology sectors. His portfolio reads as a who's who of AI infrastructure and platform companies, reflecting his deep conviction in the AI investment thesis.
Transparency & Integrity
Transparency(Score: 7/10)
Moderate-high. Baker files quarterly 13F reports disclosing long equity positions, providing portfolio visibility. He is exceptionally active on Twitter/X, where he shares detailed investment theses, industry analysis, and real-time commentary on technology trends -- this is unusual for a hedge fund manager and provides significant insight into his thinking. However, his short positions, options strategies, and detailed performance data are not publicly available. The fund is a private hedge fund, so investor letters and detailed analytics are only available to LPs. Fee structure is not publicly disclosed but is assumed to be standard hedge fund terms (2% management fee, 20% performance fee). His public commentary on AI and technology is among the most valuable freely available investment analysis in the technology sector.
Integrity(Score: 7/10)
Appears high. Baker left a secure, well-compensated position at Fidelity to start his own fund, putting his conviction into action. He has been consistent in his technology-focused, fundamental-analysis-driven approach across both Fidelity and Atreides. His public commentary on Twitter/X is substantive and analytical rather than promotional -- he engages seriously with counterarguments and shares detailed reasoning. He does not appear to front-run his public commentary with trading (his positions are disclosed quarterly, and his public views align with his known holdings). He has no known ethical issues, regulatory problems, or conflicts of interest. His willingness to share detailed investment thinking publicly, despite running a hedge fund, suggests intellectual confidence and a desire to contribute to investment discourse rather than purely to promote his fund. One consideration: as a long-short fund manager, his short positions may create conflicts of interest with his public commentary, though there is no specific evidence of this.
Relevance to Us
Gavin Baker is highly relevant to us. His concentration level (74% in top 10) aligns well with our preference for concentrated portfolios. His deep AI/technology expertise directly supports our AGI thesis -- he is perhaps the most articulate public equity investor on AI infrastructure demand, semiconductor supply chains, and the economic implications of AI. His 13F filings provide a useful reference for AI-exposed positions we might consider. His Twitter/X commentary is an excellent free resource for understanding technology investment dynamics. HOWEVER, there are important differences: (1) he runs a long-short fund, while we are long-only; (2) his approach is growth-oriented, not value-oriented -- he is willing to pay premium valuations that we might consider too expensive; (3) he does not explicitly focus on downside protection or floor prices; (4) his hedge fund fee structure (likely 2/20) is extractive compared to our self-managed approach; (5) his holding periods may be shorter than our ideal 5-10 years. He is best used as an idea source for AI-exposed companies and as an intellectual resource on AI industry dynamics, rather than as a direct model for our investment approach.