John Huber

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Saber Capital Management

Highly concentrated Buffett-style investor with 5-8 positions; strong overlap with our philosophy on concentration, quality, and downside protection; track his Berkshire/Alphabet/Meta positions closely.

Modern Value Thought Leaders

8.3/ 10Combined

Current Portfolio

2025-Q4 · 31 positions · Filed 2026-02-13

$119.8M
Total Value
#TickerValueWeight
1NRP$21.8M18.2%Conviction
2FIRST CTZNS$19.8M16.6%Conviction
3PBI-PB$10.8M9.0%
4BSMLP$8.4M7.0%
5MCS$7.8M6.5%
6CINEMARK HLDGS$6.3M5.3%
7SRBK$4.3M3.6%
8V$4.1M3.4%
9CALIFORNIA RES$4.1M3.4%
10CPRT$3.9M3.2%
11GREENFIRE RES$3.3M2.7%
12GOOGL$3.2M2.6%
13UNH$3.1M2.6%
14DOUG$3.0M2.5%
15FPH$2.2M1.9%
16DIS$1.5M1.3%
17NVR$1.4M1.2%
18MILLROSE PPTYS$1.3M1.1%
19COSTCO WHSL$1.2M1.0%
20MSFT$1.2M1.0%

Allocation

NRP (18.2%)31946M103 (16.6%)PBI-PB (9.0%)BSMLP (7.0%)MCS (6.5%)17243V102 (5.3%)SRBK (3.6%)V (3.4%)13057Q305 (3.4%)CPRT (3.2%)Other (17.8%)

Recent Changes

2025-Q4 vs 2023-Q3Portfolio +111.0%

17 New5 Increased8 Decreased4 Sold
ActionTickerShares ChangeValue Change
NEWPBI-PB+1.1M+$11.2M
Est. bought $18.7–$21.69
NEWMCS+505K+$7.8M
Est. bought $13.06–$16.12
NEWSRBK+271K+$4.3M
Est. bought $14.36–$17.03
NEWCALIFORNIA RES+92K+$4.1M
NEWGREENFIRE RES+687K+$3.3M
NEWUNH+9K+$3.1M
Est. bought $309.09–$369.92
NEWDOUG+1.3M+$3.0M
Est. bought $2.26–$2.98
NEWFPH+402K+$2.2M
Est. bought $5.47–$6.3
NEWDIS+13K+$1.5M
Est. bought $101.94–$116.65
NEWMILLROSE PPTYS+43K+$1.3M
NEWCOSTCO WHSL+1K+$1.2M
NEWWMT+10K+$1.1M
NEWNACCO INDS+23K+$1.1M
NEWCOMSTOCK HLDG+69K+$802.4K
NEWRAVE+156K+$514.4K
NEWBIGLARI HLDGS+1K+$403.9K
NEWAMERICAS CAR-MART+12K+$304.8K
SOLDFLOOR &-66K(-100%)$-5.9M
SOLDAMZN-28K(-100%)$-3.6M
SOLDGSCE-9K(-100%)$-2.8M
SOLDPNC FINL-3K(-100%)$-368.3K
INCREASEDFIRST CTZNS+6K(+176%)+$15.2M
INCREASEDNRP+81K(+63%)+$11.7M
Est. bought $100.65–$108.53
INCREASEDBSMLP+600K(+1920%)+$7.9M
INCREASEDCINEMARK HLDGS+199K(+277%)+$5.0M
INCREASEDBV FINL+10K(+43%)+$379.7K
DECREASEDJPM-30K(-94%)$-4.1M
DECREASEDMSFT-13K(-84%)$-3.6M
DECREASEDCPRT-36K(-27%)$-1.9M
DECREASEDNVR-261(-58%)$-1.3M
DECREASEDV-9K(-45%)$-761.3K
DECREASEDGOOGL-15K(-60%)$-161.0K
DECREASEDPULTE GROUP-3K(-26%)+$134.4K
DECREASEDGOOG-1K(-56%)+$14.3K

Score Breakdown

Philosophy Alignment(20%)
9
Concentration(15%)
10
Rationality(15%)
9
Integrity(15%)
9
Track Record(15%)
7
Transparency(10%)
6
Relevance(5%)
9
AGI Awareness(5%)
4

Investment Philosophy & Portfolio Style

Philosophy

Huber's philosophy is deeply Buffett-influenced but adapted for the modern era. Key tenets: (1) Extreme concentration — he typically holds only 5-8 positions, with top 3 often representing 60-80% of the portfolio. (2) Focus on high-quality businesses with durable competitive advantages and high returns on capital. (3) 'One-foot bars' — he looks for simple, understandable investments where the odds are heavily in his favor, referencing Buffett's quote about not jumping over 7-foot bars. (4) Long-term holding — he holds positions for years, not months. (5) Margin of safety — buying good businesses at reasonable prices, not trying to buy mediocre businesses at cheap prices. (6) Emphasis on owner-operator mindset — thinking about stocks as ownership stakes in businesses. He has evolved from traditional deep value toward quality-focused concentrated investing.


Portfolio Style

Extremely concentrated — typically 5-8 positions with massive conviction in top holdings. Based on historical 13F filings, Saber Capital has held large positions in Berkshire Hathaway (often 20-40% of portfolio), Alphabet/Google, Meta/Facebook, and other high-quality businesses. The portfolio is long-only, no leverage, no shorting. He favors companies with network effects, high switching costs, and strong competitive positions. The AUM is relatively small (estimated $50-200M range), which allows him to be nimble but also means he focuses on large-cap, liquid names. His turnover is very low — he holds positions for multiple years and only trades when valuations become extreme.

Background

John Huber is the founder and portfolio manager of Saber Capital Management, a value-focused investment firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina. He previously worked in real estate private equity before transitioning to public equity investing. He ran the influential value investing blog 'Base Hit Investing' (basehitinvesting.com) where he wrote extensively about concentrated value investing, competitive advantages, and capital allocation — the blog attracted a significant following in the value investing community. He is deeply influenced by Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and the Berkshire Hathaway approach to investing. He has appeared on numerous value investing podcasts and at conferences. He manages money for a small number of high-net-worth clients and runs a highly concentrated portfolio.

Track Record

Saber Capital has generated strong returns since inception, generally outperforming the S&P 500 over most multi-year periods. Exact performance numbers are not widely publicized as it is a private fund. His blog writing and public commentary have demonstrated strong analytical ability, particularly his early recognition of the quality and durability of businesses like Google, Meta, and Berkshire. His concentrated approach means returns can be lumpy — very strong in some years, potentially trailing in others — but the long-term compounding has been solid. His willingness to hold large positions in Meta during its 2022 drawdown and benefit from the subsequent recovery speaks to his conviction and process quality.

Notable Holdings

Based on historical 13F filings: Berkshire Hathaway (consistently large position, often 25-40% of portfolio), Alphabet/Google (significant position), Meta/Facebook (significant position, held through 2022 drawdown), and a small number of other high-quality businesses. The portfolio is overwhelmingly concentrated in 3-5 names. He favors businesses with scale advantages, network effects, and strong management. His Berkshire position reflects his deep admiration for the Buffett/Munger model.

Transparency & Integrity

Transparency(Score: 6/10)

Moderately transparent. His blog 'Base Hit Investing' was one of the best value investing blogs available, with detailed write-ups on his investment thinking. He has given numerous podcast interviews and conference presentations explaining his approach. However, the blog has been less active in recent years as he focuses on managing money. His 13F filings provide quarterly snapshots of holdings. He writes investor letters but they are not publicly available — they go only to his limited partners. He shares his general philosophy freely but specific positions and thesis details are reserved for investors.

Integrity(Score: 9/10)

Very high integrity. He is well-regarded in the value investing community as an honest, thoughtful investor who genuinely cares about getting things right. His blog posts demonstrated intellectual honesty — he discussed his mistakes openly and evolved his thinking publicly. He runs a small fund with significant personal capital invested alongside clients, aligning interests. He does not engage in self-promotion or marketing hype. He is not a fee-extractor — his small AUM and concentrated approach suggest he genuinely cares about returns, not asset gathering.

Relevance to Us

Very high relevance. Huber's approach — extreme concentration, long-term holding, focus on high-quality businesses at reasonable prices, no leverage, no shorting — is extremely close to our philosophy. His emphasis on simple, understandable businesses with durable moats aligns perfectly. His portfolio overlap (Berkshire, Alphabet, Meta) suggests similar analytical conclusions about where value lies. His 'Base Hit Investing' approach — looking for high-probability, moderate-upside situations rather than home runs — resonates with our 'little chance of losing money' philosophy. The main gap is AGI awareness — he is primarily a traditional quality-value investor and does not appear to incorporate AGI timelines into his analysis.